The disease is caused by the bluetongue virus btv which is the type species of the genus orbivirus within the family reoviridae mertens et al. Multicriteria decision analysis for evaluating control. Introduction km introduced the eufmd project and the members of the team to the audience. A read is counted each time someone views a publication summary such as the title, abstract, and list of authors, clicks on a figure, or views or downloads the fulltext. Advanced search the european commission for the control. Nusap was introduced by silvio funtowicz and jerome ravetz in the 1990 book uncertainty and quality in science for policy. Vose software, franklin rooseveltlaan 348, ghent 9000, belgium. David vose, willy wint, neil alexander and koen mintiens developed.
Information about the openaccess article indicators for tracking european vulnerabilities to the risks of infectious disease transmission due to climate change in doaj. Indicators for tracking european vulnerabilities to the risks of infectious disease transmission due to climate change by jonathan e. Spring temperatures as indicators of tbe risk in sweden. Development of software applications for risk analysis. The project report was authored by david vose, kristie l. It is common practice that some or all animals in a group of animals, e.
Vose software specializes in providing software systems for assessing and managing risks using the most precise information possible. Indicators for tracking european vulnerabilities to the risks of. Evaluation of antibodyelisa and realtime rtpcr for the. More flexibility in operational activities version 1. See the complete profile on linkedin and discover koen s connections and jobs at similar companies. Citeseerx document details isaac councill, lee giles, pradeep teregowda. Estimating herd prevalence on the basis of aggregate testing of animals. Nusap method for evaluating the data quality in a quantitative microbial risk assessment model for. Systematic collection and analysis is needed of the links between.
A wide range of infectious diseases may change their geographic range, seasonality and incidence due to climate change, but there is limited research exploring health vulnerabilities to climate change. The input parameters were grouped according to four successive exposure pathways. Governance of resource allocation usually occurs through one of three approaches, or a combination thereof. Vulnerabilities to the risks of changes in infectious. Bluetongue bt is a noncontagious disease of domesticated as well as wild ruminants that induces variable clinical signs depending on the species and the breed maclachlan, 1994, verwoerd and erasmus, 2004.
Box plots represent the minimum and maximum value that are not considered as outliers, the 25th and 75th percentile respectively p25 and p75, the median p50, and possible outliers per sample and per laboratory. Due to the great success and the fact that the sun is still working overtime, we decided to extend the summer promotion until 15 august 2010. Estimating herd prevalence on the basis of aggregate. Last month vose software announced its summer discount. View david voses profile on linkedin, the worlds largest professional community. Nusap method for evaluating the data quality in a quantitative microbial risk assessment model for salmonella in the pork production chain. Prepared by aviagis and vose consulting for the scientific and technical advice unit, european centre for disease prevention and control, stockholm, sweden authors david vose, neil alexander, william wint, kris ebi, els koen mintiens, els ducheyne and guy hendrickx 2011. The th conference of the international society for veterinary epidemiology and economics isvee xiii will be held from 20 24 august 2012 in the city of maastricht, close to. Nusap is a notational system for the management and communication of uncertainty in science for policy, based on five categories for characterizing any quantitative statement.
Bluetongue is an arthropodborne viral disease affecting both wild and domestic ruminants. David vose, willy wint, alexander neil, koen mintiens, jan c. Journal of the royal statistical society series a, 2011, vol. Presently, modelling vulnerabilities to climate change has many uncertainties and limitations. Some european regions probably require additional investment to develop strategies to adapt to climate change for public health.
This article is from international journal of environmental research and public health, volume 11. Environmental research group oxford, department of zoology, university of oxford, south. Expert judgement in a risk assessment model for salmonella spp. Ebi 2, david vose 3, willy wint 4, neil alexander 4, koen mintiens 5 and jan c. More recently, prioritisation in health contexts has been undertaken using multicriteria decision analysis mcda havelaar et al. Expert judgement in a risk assessment model for salmonella. Dr koen mintiens further elaborates on the importance of respecting roles and responsibilities of ppps based on his experience of how the belgium livestock farmers established their bovine viral diarrhoea bvd disease control plan. Improving the accuracy of livestock distribution estimates through spatial interpolation ward bryssinckx1, els ducheyne1, bernard muhwezi2, sunday godfrey3, koen mintiens1, herwig leirs4, guy hendrickx1 1aviagis, risschotlei 33, be2980 zoersel, belgium. Workshop on incorporating wildlife compartments in fmd. The distribution of the bluetongue virus btv is therefore limited to those regions where competent vector species are present and its transmission to those times of the year when climatic conditions are favourable for the cycle of transmission mellor et al.
Indicators for tracking european vulnerabilities to the. I have been an independent risk analysis consultant since 1989 working internationally for business and government in a wide range of fields. Integrated range of quantitative risk analysis and management software products, supported by consulting and training services. Ijerph free fulltext indicators for tracking european. Establish collaboration with efsa sigma initiative 5. Citeseerx citation query estimating logistic regression. The dog and cat population on maio island, cape verde. Nitin bhatia is a great leader who has successfully upgraded intas polivet as a leading professional veterinary and animal husbandry journal in india with high naas rating with highly innovative ideas like launching of periodic special issues of much relevance to fiel. Investing generally in factors that strengthen adaptive capacity could lower vulnerabilities. In order to address this gap, paneuropean vulnerability indices were developed for 2035 and 2055, based. This concept of vulnerability differs from that used in most public health practices, which generally do not take adaptive capacity as a component of. Pdf nusap method for evaluating the data quality in a.
Vulnerabilities to the risks of changes in infectious disease. Software development and model finalisation version 1. Vulnerabilities to the risks of changes in infectious disease transmission caused by climate change. Development of a quantitative microbial risk assessment. Abstracta wide range of infectious diseases may change their. Ebi, willy wint, neil alexander, koen mintiens, els ducheyne, and guy hendrickx. Methods for estimating the correlation parameter in current gee software for binary responses disregard these bounds. Integrate webenabled corporate risk registers with project schedule risk and analysis in microsoft excel using monte carlo simulation. The numeral unit spread assessment pedigree nusap system was implemented to evaluate the quality of input parameters in a quantitative microbial risk assessment qmra model for salmonella spp. View koen mintiens profile on linkedin, the worlds largest professional community. Improving the accuracy of livestock distribution estimates.
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